How is the stock market today: the market traffic light
Data as of Oct 12, 2026
Good
Themes of the verdict
- Trend: Good
- Volatility: Good
- Credit access: Poor
Last month
| Date | Colour |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Good |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Good |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Fair |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Fair |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Fair |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Fair |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Fair |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Fair |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Fair |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Fair |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Fair |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Fair |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Fair |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Fair |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fair |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Fair |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Fair |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Fair |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fair |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Fair |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Fair |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Fair |
Over the last 10 years
- Days in each colour: "Good" 28%, "Fair" 39%, "Poor" 33%.
What it is
The traffic light sums up in one colour how the US stock market stands today against its own history of the last 10 years. It combines three themes: the price trend, nervousness (volatility) and companies' access to credit.
How to read it
"Good" means the whole sits in the healthiest third of its recent history; "Poor", in the most strained third. To change colour, health must cross the cut-off by a margin, which filters out noise. It describes the present and does not anticipate rises or falls.
Frequently asked questions
What does the market traffic light measure?
How the US stock market stands today against its own 10-year history, combining price trend, volatility and access to credit.
Does it predict whether stocks will rise or fall?
No. It describes the present. In the past, "Poor" periods were followed by much larger moves, both down and up: the worst moments are often followed by rebounds.
How often is it updated?
Every market day, after the Wall Street close, with the data published by then.
Sources
More market data
- Spain risk premium today
- VIX today: Wall Street's fear index
- High-yield spread today: the cost of risky credit
- S&P 500 versus its 200-day moving average today
- Insider buying on Wall Street today
- US Treasury yield curve today: is it inverted?
- Euro area yield curve today
- How OwlAI works: the market traffic light method